The list is filling out and will keep doing so right up through Sunday afternoon. We’ll track who has clinched which automatic bids here throughout the weekend. The team’s conference tournament seeding is shown in parentheses.

Men’s tournament
AMCC: Medaille
ASC: Texas-Dallas
CAC: Wesley (2)
CCC: University of New England (1)
Centennial: Gettysburg
CCIW: Wheaton, Ill. (1)
CSAC: Gwynedd-Mercy (1)
CUNYAC: Brooklyn (2)
E8: Rochester Tech
GNAC: St. Joseph’s, Maine (3)
HCAC: Transylvania (1)
IIAC: Cornell (2)
LL: RPI (3)
LEC: Mass.-Dartmouth (2)
MACC: Widener (1)
MACF: DeSales (1)
MASCAC: Bridgewater State (2)
MIAA: Hope (2)
MWC: Lawrence (2)
MIAC: St. Thomas (1)
NAC: Husson (2)
NATHC: Aurora (5)
NCAC: Wooster (1)
NEAC: SUNYIT (1)
NESCAC: Middlebury (1)
NEWMAC: MIT
NJAC: Richard Stockton (1)
NWC: Whitworth (2)
OAC: John Carroll (1)
ODAC: Virginia Wesleyan (7)
PAC: Thomas More (1)
SCAC: Centre
SCIAC: Claremont-Mudd-Scripps (1)
SKY: St. Joseph’s, L.I. (2)
SLIAC: Fontbonne (1)
SUNYAC: Brockport State (8)
UAA: Washington U. (no tourney)
USAC: Averett (1)
WIAC: UW-Stevens Point (1)

Women’s tournament
AMCC: Pitt-Greensburg (1)
ASC: Howard Payne
CAC: Mary Washington (3)
CCC: Salve Regina (5)
Centennial: Muhlenberg (1)
CCIW: Illinois Wesleyan (1)
CSAC: Cabrini (1)
CUNYAC: Baruch (1)
E8: Stevens (3)
GNAC: Emmanuel (1)
GSAC: Maryville, Tenn. (1)
HCAC: Transylvania (1)
IIAC: Simpson (1)
LL: St. Lawrence (2)
LEC: Southern Maine (3)
MACC: Widener (4)
MACF: DeSales (1)
MASCAC: Westfield State (1)
MIAA: Hope (1)
MWC: Ripon (3)
MIAC: St. Benedict (1)
NAC: Castleton State (3)
NATHC: Concordia, Wis. (2)
NCAC: Ohio Wesleyan (4)
NEAC: Keuka
NESCAC: Bowdoin (1)
NEWMAC: Babson (2)
NJAC: TCNJ (1)
NWC: George Fox (1)
OAC: Capital (1)
ODAC: Randolph-Macon (2)
PAC: Thomas More (1)
SCAC: Oglethorpe (1)
SCIAC: Occidental (1)
SKY: Mt. St. Mary (1)
SLIAC: Maryville, Mo. (1)
SUNYAC: Brockport State (4)
UAA: Washington U. (no tourney)
USAC: Christopher Newport (2)
WIAC: UW-Stevens Point (1)

The most recent NCAA News talks about perhaps the single most important facet of the NCAA championships selection process: the data.

In recent years, the NCAA’s selection process at the Division III level has been, at times, laughable. How else do you explain tournaments where the brackets keep changing after they’ve been released, where the number of teams in each pool needs correction, and the regional rankings are based on incorrect records?

This past offseason, the Capital Athletic Conference proposed a way to end all of this embarrassment: Release the data.

We here at D3sports.com know it is not easy to wrangle the amount of data that we and the selection committee have to deal with. There are more than 11,000 basketball games in a Division III season and while we here at D3sports.com know the rules as to what is a regional game and what is not, not all of the schools do, and everyone with access to the system can change the status of their own games, not to mention report scores, sometimes incorrectly.

However, the beauty of the system is that all of you can see the data and suggest corrections. And you do, frequently.

The NCAA keeps all of this hidden. Not just from the fans, not just from us, but even from the coaches and the schools. They can’t see their OWP or OOWP without coming to our site, or their “official” regional record unless they happen to get into the regional rankings. Only if you are on a regional committee do you get a login to view this information.

So when the CAC suggested opening the data for all to see, we saw it as a great thing.

The NCAA did not. They threw up roadblocks to this request, claiming that it would take six figures worth of budget to allow everyone access, that it would require training and other things that would make it unappealing to the membership. Never mind that they already have a system in place to give some people access to it. It might require more processing power to expand that to all 800 schools, but most of the work involved is in the generation of user accounts.

The benefit is that everyone who creates a schedule in any sport would have the opportunity to be more educated as to how that schedule affects the NCAA Tournament selection process. You’d have instant access to your opponents’ winning percentage and their opponents’ winning percentage. Coaches would see the proverbial man behind the curtain.

Eventually, of course, the proposal was withdrawn.

Our source at the NCAA convention last month told us, “There was a look of distinct relief on the faces of those on the dais.”

Now, admittedly, they have gotten a little better this season, at least in basketball. But how are we to know everything is correct?

Responding directly to the concern about errors, it discussed improving the score-reporting program’s current ability to flag conflicting information submitted by institutions, by adding a function that automatically would trigger e-mails to regional advisory committee (RAC) members and institutional representatives when such errors occur.

Sponsors of Proposal 8 asserted that ranking and selection decisions have been made in the past without resolving such conflicts in data. The Championships Committee wants to clear up such errors before each ranking of teams by a sports committee.

Read the article for yourself. It’s good they are trying to fix things, and indeed, this year’s regional rankings have been based on far more accurate records than in recent years.

But it’s not even close to being enough. The selection process is difficult enough as it is. Let’s at least make sure the right data are being used.

For some time now, Wash U graduate Patrick Abegg has been collecting data on Division III basketball, running his own computer rating and the like. In recent years his projections of the NCAA’s regional rankings have been impressively accurate. So, rather than duplicate his efforts, we’ve decided to recognize him as the Joe Lunardi of Division III.

From his rankings, we’re projecting out who the at-large men’s basketball candidates are, which conference leaders are currently upset proof (if they take one loss) and who’s on the bubble.

As a refresher, 60 teams make the NCAA Tournament in Division III men’s basketball, with 39 automatic bids, three Pool B bids for teams not in those conferences and 18 at-large bids (Pool C).

For the purposes of this projection, one team in each conference has to be the presumed automatic bid.

Who’s in?
These are teams that have clinched automatic bids
Washington University-St. Louis, UAA champion

Who’s safe?
These are teams that would get in even with a loss in the conference finals, no matter what. There can only really be nine locks if there are 18 at-large bids.
St. Thomas
Ithaca
Puget Sound
Franklin and Marshall
UW-Whitewater
Middlebury
Worcester Polytech
Wheaton (Ill.)
Richard Stockton

Who’s next?
For each team above which wins its conference tournament and automatic bid, a team from this list joins the ranks of the safe.
Capital
Buena Vista
Texas-Dallas
Calvin
Farmingdale State
Rhode Island College
St. Lawrence
Bridgewater State
Trinity (Texas)

Pool B ranking
Elms
Scranton
Susquehanna

No other Pool B team appears in Abegg’s regional rankings, encompassing 82 teams. The next team would likely be Maryville (Tenn.).

Safe Pool C teams
These teams are relatively safe even with the one expected loss.
1. UW-Stevens Point
2. Hamilton
3. Mass-Dartmouth
4. UW-Platteville
5. John Carroll
6. Randolph-Macon
7. Centre
8. North Central
9. Salem State
10. Elmhurst

Pool C bubble teams
These teams need a lot of things to go right ahead of them.
11. Amherst
12. McDaniel
13. Carnegie Mellon (Note, no conference tournament.)
14. St. Joseph’s (L.I.)
15. William Paterson
16. Ohio Wesleyan
17. Mississippi College
18. Whitworth

A-begging to get in
Better win out.
19. Montclair State
20. Colby
21. Wesley
22. McMurry
23. Augustana
24. MIT
25. DePauw
26. Ohio Northern
27. Bowdoin
28. Brandeis (Note, no conference tournament.)

I’ve gotten questions about Cornell and Mary Hardin-Baylor this week. They stand at No. 30 and 36 on Abegg’s Pool C list.

All other conference leaders not listed need to win out, as currently projected.