Last night I started running numbers with the intent of producing a full bracket, but was unable to do so before having to give up and get some sleep. Sleep is precious this time of year — way too much work to do and not enough time to do it.

But I got far enough through it to generate something useful, and that was my Pool C rankings. Here’s were I saw the teams shaking out if the season ended Wednesday night:

Pool C
1 UW-Stevens Point
2 Middlebury
3 Guilford
4 Virginia Wesleyan
5 Wheaton (Ill.)
6 Lycoming
7 Richard Stockton
8 Illinois Wesleyan
9 Colby
10 Brandeis
11 Randolph-Macon
12 Rutgers-Newark
13 Messiah
14 Oneonta State
15 Mary Hardin-Baylor
16 Ithaca
17 Augsburg
18 York (Pa.)
19 Defiance

After that, the teams on the board were Ramapo, NYU, Calvin, Wesley, Western Connecticut, DePauw, UW-La Crosse. Augustana was next behind Defiance.

To do this, of course, I had to pick champions in a bunch of conferences, to determine who the Pool C teams would be. Mostly these are top seeds, or top teams in the regional rankings from each conference.

Pool A Projected winner
AMCC Medaille
ASC Texas-Dallas
CAC St. Mary’s (Md.)
CC Franklin and Marshall
CSAC Cabrini
CUNYAC York (N.Y.)
CCIW Carthage
CCC Gordon
E8 St. John Fisher
GNAC Albertus Magnus
HCAC Anderson
IIAC Central
LAND Merchant Marine
LL St. Lawrence
LEC Rhode Island College
MASCAC Bridgewater State
MIAA Hope
MAC-C Albright
MAC-F DeSales
MWC St. Norbert
MIAC St. Thomas
NESCAC Williams
NEWMAC MIT
NJAC William Paterson
NAC Maine-Farmington
NATHC Aurora
NCAC Wooster
NEAC SUNYIT
NWC Whitworth
OAC John Carroll
ODAC Eastern Mennonite
PAC Thomas More
SLIAC Westminster (Mo.)
SKY SUNY-Old Westbury
SCIAC Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
SCAC Austin
SUNYAC Plattsburgh State
UAA Washington U.
USAC North Carolina Wesleyan
WIAC UW-Whitewater

It’s a rough first draft, and nothing ever accounts for conference tournament upsets. But the further down you are on the Pool C list, the less safe you are is someone on the Pool A list gets upset.