Immediate thoughts on Friday night

Alright, getting down to the nitty-gritty. One automatic bid is in (Wash U women) and 74 are left to go over the next nine days.

Chicago swept NYU and put the NYU women on the bubble, in my opinion. This game is worth six points to NYU in the Quality of Wins Index for now, but Chicago has to go to Brandeis on Sunday and hosts Wash U next Saturday. They could easily lose both games, slip below .667 in-region and make this a four-point game for NYU. Currently NYU’s QOW slips from 10.636 to 10.434, but if Chicago loses twice, NYU loses two points for each meeting and it becomes 10.26.

Oh, and NYU still has to host No. 3 Wash U and travel to No. 12 Brandeis. A sweep will keep NYU on track thanks to its steady non-conference diet of top teams in weak conferences.

The Carnegie Mellon men losing at Emory isn’t horribly surprising. Emory is just 10-13 but 9-4 at home. Carnegie Mellon and Wash U are tied for first at 8-4, Chicago, NYU and Rochester one game back at 7-5. Remember, no conference tournament in the UAA.

As I write, Puget Sound’s men are up 66-49 on Willamette, though there are 11 minutes left. Winner gets the top seed in the NWC tournament (according to the Willamette broadcasters, I don’t have the conference tiebreakers in front of me), which is just three teams.

Looks like Trinity (Texas) has wrapped up the top seed in the SCAC men, edging Sewanee at home to go to 11-2. Southwestern (no report at home against Centre) could finish 11-3 by beating Sewanee on Sunday but Trinity swept the head-to-head series. Top seed doesn’t mean home court in the SCAC, though — this tournament is at Rhodes. DePauw has long since clinched the women’s top seed and can run the table in the league with a home win tomorrow against Rose-Hulman.

Should be an interesting next few days! Stay tuned, too, with Gordon Mann’s 12 Days of Championships running Daily Dose feature.

12 Days of Championships: Will Bears roll ‘Deis?

Brandeis Malcolm

For many years Washington U. was the standard for Division III women’s basketball excellence.

The Bears rolled off four consecutive national titles from 1998 to 2001. Then they started a new, less enjoyable trend in 2002:

2002: Lose to UW-Stevens Point in the tournament. UW-Stevens Point wins the title.
2003: Lose to Trinity (Texas) in the tournament. Trinity (Texas) wins the title.
2005: Lost to Millikin in the tournament. Millikin wins the title.

Tonight the Bears can be pioneers of excellence again. With a win at No. 12 Brandeis, Wash U. will clinch the UAA title and be the first team to wrap up a bid to the NCAA tournament. You can hear the game on WBRS at 6 PM.

Not that the Judges and Caitlin Malcolm (pictured) will just roll over. They have plenty to play for as they chase Wash U. in conference and Southern Maine and Bowdoin in region.

Elsewhere the LMC women’s tournament resumes play, weather permitting. And lots of other teams gear up for a final push just to make their conference tournament.

Regional games on break out, better SOS in

At the January convention, the intriguing proposal to designate any D-III games played on an institutional break of seven or more days (winter break basketball and spring break baseball/softball/lacrosse come to mind) count as regional games was tabled.

At the recent Division III championships committee meeting, it was killed. Says The NCAA News:

Two specific concerns — about how teams would notify opponents about designation of a game as an in-region contest and the probable difficulty of obtaining both teams’ consent for that designation — prompted the committee to abandon the proposal, which it first recommended to the Division III Management Council last year.

“When discussing the specifics of implementing the proposal, it became apparent there were some logistical hurdles that were going to be difficult to clear,” (Iowa Conference commissioner and championships committee chair John) Cochrane said.

They’re looking at something different, expanding the definition of a regional game to include teams in the NCAA’s overall defined regions. There are four of those, which means more schools would be in a particular region. That goes into the NCAA pipeline and requires more approval.

Finally, too, the opponents’ opponents winning percentage is headed back into play for selection criteria.

“A goal of the committee over the past year has been to develop and implement a true strength-of-schedule component in our criteria,” Cochrane told the News. “The component we have now, the ‘quality of wins index,’ is not a very accurate measure of an institution’s strength of schedule. (Emphasis added.)

“For years, we’ve talked about the importance of encouraging our institutions to play the best teams within their region that they possibly can, but our criteria haven’t rewarded institutions for doing so in near as strong a way as we would like. We’re hoping this gets us closer to that objective.”

Well hallelujah! It’s about time! They call it opponents’ opponents’ average winning percentage, so one would think that is pretty self-explanatory. If that gets through the pipeline, the strong teams will actually benefit and be measured more accurately.

The 12 Days of Championships

Lakeland James

Tonight we start the push to the largest Division III basketball tournaments ever. Over the next 12 days 122 bids – 59 for the men and 63 for the women – will be dished out with most of the AQs coming next weekend and all the Pool B and C bids announced on Monday, February 27.

(Not sure what Pool B and C are? Wonder why it’s 59 and 63 teams? Check out Sunday’s Dose).

As mentioned on the front page, this is our favorite time of the year. It’s also our busiest with lots of scores to chase (unless, ahem, our SID friends post them) and stories to watch. We’ll continue use the Dose to share some of them when we can. Just don’t be surprised if they are posted in the single digit AM hours.

Tonight the Lake Michigan Conference tips off its men’s tournament with Lakeland (20-5) as the top seed. Led by senior Germayne James (pictured), the Muskies are ranked No. 6 in the recent Midwest regional rankings with a resume that includes a win over WIAC contender UW-Stevens Point and an eight point lose to No. 5 Hope.

But being the favorite hasn’t always been a blessing in the LMC tournament. Twice teams with losing records have captured the automatic bid, most recently when Milwaukee School of Engineering (MSOE for those who don’t like typing) made the 2003 dance at just 13-15.

The ultimate Cinderella story would be Maranatha Baptist (1-22) which is winless against Division III. But they’ll get their chance to play into the tournament over the next 12 days, just like the majority of other teams.

And who knows what will happen? After all, Division III tournament play technically started Tuesday with Maranatha Baptist beating Alverno 57-50 in the LMC women’s tournament. The Crusaders picked a good time to get their first win against full Division III members.

So let the fun begin!

Second regional rankings

The NCAA Division III men’s and women’s basketball committees released their second regional rankings of the 2005-06 season Wednesday afternoon. The first record listed is the record in regional games, followed by overall record, through Sunday, Feb. 12.

The number of teams ranked in the men’s poll is relative to the number of teams in each region.

Men
Atlantic

1. Baruch 19-2 21-4
2. SUNY-Farmingdale 15-4 18-4
3. New Jersey 15-5 17-6
4. William Paterson 15-6 16-7
5. Mount St. Mary 16-5 19-5

East
1. Cortland State 19-1 20-2
2. St. John Fisher 17-1 19-3
3. New York University 17-4 18-4
4. Hamilton 15-3 19-3
5. Rochester 13-5 16-6

Great Lakes
1. Wooster 18-1 22-1
2. Baldwin-Wallace 19-2 21-2
3. Wittenberg 16-2 21-2
4. Carnegie Mellon 14-3 18-4
T5. Calvin 9-1 18-5
T5. Hope 14-2 21-2

Mid-Atlantic
1. York (Pa.) 18-2 20-2
2. Widener 18-3 19-3
3. Lincoln 12-4 20-4
4. Alvernia 18-3 20-4
5. Ursinus 17-4 18-5
6. Johns Hopkins 16-4 17-5
7. Catholic 14-5 16-6
8. Messiah 14-6 15-8

Midwest
1. Lawrence 18-0 20-0
2. Augustana 18-2 20-3
3. Carroll 17-2 19-2
4. Transylvania 19-4 19-4
5. Illinois Wesleyan 13-4 18-4
6 Lakeland 16-3 20-5
7. Washington U. 12-5 15-7
8. Elmhurst 15-6 16-7

Northeast
1. Amherst 22-1 23-2
2. Worcester Polytechnic 18-3 19-3
3. Tufts 18-4 19-5
4. Gordon 18-2 19-3
5. Trinity (Conn.) 14-4 17-5
6. Bates 14-5 18-5
7. Williams 16-7 17-7
8. Keene State 13-6 16-6
9. Rhode Island College 15-7 15-7
10. Westfield State 14-7 16-7

South
1. Mississippi College 19-1 21-1
2. Trinity (Texas) 14-2 18-5
3. Virginia Wesleyan 20-3 21-3
4. Randolph-Macon 16-5 19-5
5. Howard Payne 15-5 16-5
6. Christopher Newport 9-2 18-5
T7. Fisk 9-4 14-10
T7. Maryville (Tenn.) 14-6 18-6

West
1. Occidental 11-1 18-2
2. UW-Stout 15-4 18-5
3. Puget Sound 13-2 18-4
4. Wartburg 16-3 18-4
5. UW-La Crosse 16-5 18-5
6. St. Thomas 17-5 19-5
7. UW-Whitewater 13-5 17-5
8. Carleton 15-4 18-5

Women
Atlantic

1. Mary Washington 18-0 22-0
2. Mount St. Mary 18-3 20-3
3. Richard Stockton 18-3 19-4
4. Baruch 16-4 18-6
5. Stevens 16-6 16-6
6. Catholic 14-7 16-7

Central
1. Maryville (Mo.) 12-0 18-4
2. Washington U. 14-2 20-2
3. Wheaton (Ill.) 14-2 19-3
4. Lawrence 15-2 19-2
5. Carroll 14-4 17-4
6. Illinois Wesleyan 13-5 16-7

East
1. Rochester 16-5 16-6
2. New York University 18-4 18-4
3. Medaille 20-1 21-1
4. St. John Fisher 18-2 20-2
5. William Smith 15-3 17-4
6. Cortland State 18-2 19-2

Great Lakes
1. DePauw 17-0 23-1
2. Baldwin-Wallace 19-0 21-2
3. Hope 18-1 21-1
4. Capital 16-3 20-3
5. Calvin 11-2 19-3
6. Franklin 15-3 20-3

Mid-Atlantic
1. Scranton 16-0 22-1
2. Messiah 18-1 21-2
3. Muhlenberg 20-2 20-2
4. Gwynedd-Mercy 19-3 20-3
5. Johns Hopkins 15-3 18-5
6. Moravian 17-5 18-5

Northeast
1. Southern Maine 20-1 21-1
2. Bowdoin 17-2 20-2
3. Brandeis 17-3 17-3
4. Salem State 16-3 19-3
5. Williams 16-4 19-4
6. Bates 16-5 17-7
7. Maine-Farmington 18-3 19-3
8. Wesleyan 15-4 16-6

South
1. Randolph-Macon 18-1 20-2
2. McMurry 19-2 21-2
3. Howard Payne 17-3 19-3
4. Oglethorpe 17-3 19-4
5. Mississippi College 18-3 18-3
6. Hardin-Simmons 18-3 19-3

West
1. Pacific Lutheran 14-2 19-3
2. Puget Sound 16-3 19-4
3. St. Benedict 17-3 19-4
4. Simpson 14-1 19-4
5. Concordia-Moorhead 16-5 17-6
6. Gustavus Adolphus 17-5 17-5