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Top 25 poll analysis

Wartburg played its way up in the Top 25.Photo by Caleb Williams, d3photography.com

Wartburg played its way up in the Top 25.
Photo by Caleb Williams, d3photography.com

I’ve often told people that you can’t just analyze a team’s placement or movement in the Top 25 in a vacuum. The reality is, all 25 teams’ placement (and those in the others receiving votes) are all relative.

Case in point this week: Wittenberg moves down three spots in the first regular-season D3football.com Top 25 after losing by six to Butler, a Division I FCS team (albeit, a non-scholarship opponent). When I’m voting, I try to keep a few things in mind: Did we expect this result, or should we have expected them to win? That may mean I don’t drop Wittenberg or a team in a similar situation (Thomas More) on my ballot.

Nonetheless, Wittenberg dropped three spots. And in all honesty, that’s because Wabash and Wartburg really deserved to move up. Wabash beat a ranked team, while Wartburg basically dismantled a pretty decent team.

It may also be helpful to look at the poll points. They can tell you two things — first of all, where are the tiers of teams, and secondly, how far a team truly moved each week.

Going back to Wittenberg as our example: The Tigers received 244 points in the preseason poll and 225 in the Week 1 poll. That difference of 19 points means that the 25 voters moved Wittenberg an average of about one spot on their ballot. But Wartburg went from 175 points to 267 (plus-92) and Wabash went from 191 to 294 (plus-103). Johns Hopkins, the other team that passed Wittenberg, gained 74 points as they helped erase one of the preseason concerns about their offense.

Wesley and Linfield swap spots. I think it’s pretty easy to see that Wesley beating a ranked team is more impressive than Linfield not playing. And this was only a shift of 12 points: Wesley trailed Linfield by five in the preseason and leads by seven now. There is a cluster of teams ranked 4-7 that are within 18 points of each other, then a big dropoff to No. 8 UW-Platteville and another one to No. 9 St. John Fisher.

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ATN podcast: Wrapping up the season

UW-Whitewater experienced Division III nirvana after being out of the playoffs entirely for a year. That means it's possible for your team to do this as well. Photo by Larry Radloff, d3photography.com

UW-Whitewater experienced Division III nirvana after being out of the playoffs entirely for a year. That means it’s possible for your team to do this as well.
Photo by Larry Radloff, d3photography.com Subscribe to the Around the Nation Podcast in iTunes.

We had some final business to take care of on Friday night after UW-Whitewater’s 52-14 win vs. Mount Union in Stagg Bowl XLI. In addition to wrapping up the game, Keith McMillan and Pat Coleman talked about which players might have played themselves into All-America status

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Around the Nation podcast: Down to four


UMHB turned back to its bench for quarterback Brian Gallagher down the stretch.
Photo by Joe Fusco, d3photography.com

Subscribe to the Around the Nation Podcast in iTunes.

An epic shootout, a sacktastic comeback, a quarterback change and a blowout are what we got in our four quarterfinal games on Saturday. Mount Union and Wesley went down to the final 90 seconds after the Purple Raiders roared out to a 31-0 lead, Linfield scored the first 17 and then never again in a loss to UW-Whitewater, Mary Hardin-Baylor changed up signal-callers to find a spark to close the game out and North Central was strong in all phases of the game at Bethel.

Keith McMillan and Pat Coleman tell us what they saw on Saturday, talk about what’s coming up and what to look for in the national semifinals, as well as talk about a coach Continue reading