My day at the worldwide leader

I learned a couple of months ago that this year’s selection show would be different; instead of sitting in a ESPN Zone restaurant in Washington, D.C., my home area, I would be in the studio in Bristol, Conn.

Saturday’s portion of the trip went well, saw a great game between Union and RPI for the Dutchman Shoes. Good wi-fi access at the hotel so I could get work done. And Sunday started off pretty well. I got a call from Mark Simon, one of our columnists who also works in research for Baseball Tonight and college basketball at ESPN. He told me that we had gotten the last key projected team correctly, Cortland State in and Cal Lutheran out.

We spent a good hour or two going over the bracket, picking out what games to key on, bantering over what to say. Dari Nowkhah, the anchor, took it very seriously, as did producer Pete Tredwell. We’ve had a different anchor every year but Tredwell has been the guy all three years. They’ve got a good routine down and I had commentary planned out, some of which I would get to use. More on that later.

So we plan out the show, Dari is writing his script, I’m fact-checking the info the NCAA sent (two key pieces were wrong, of course), then posting info on the site, getting ready for the show. About 45 minutes before air I change into my coat and tie, then head upstairs for makeup. Scott Reiss, who anchored last year’s show, is in the chair before me. Tredwell gives me a dry run on the stage direction, which camera to look in. Wish it would be a full rehearsal, with cameras and all, but oh well.

The previous crew clears the studio and we have three minutes of commercial to get set up. I thread my mic through my shirt so I can tack it onto my tie, plug in my earpiece.

Opening highlights roll, which was fun to see. Two minutes or so into the show, my first chance to talk … and I forgot what I was going to say. I see my name come up on the teleprompter, Dari nods to me regarding St. John’s and Monmouth and I blank. It seems like forever in retrospect but on viewing the tape, it was only a second. They were supposed to remain on the graphic but came to me on camera instead, which was another distraction.

All told, in my breakdown of the west bracket, I think I said “uh,” like, uh, 10 times. My dad, watching with my aunt and uncle in the Minneapolis suburbs (ESPNews is not on the Minneapolis basic package, apparently), later said he knew I was off to a bad start. Mom just told me I did a good job.

Dad also nitpicked my tie knot. Taking fashion tips from my dad is like taking competitive balance suggestions from Indianapolis, however.

Alright, on to the south bracket. We pause on Ferrum/Wesley, and I knew I had something to say there, but couldn’t remember what it was. If I hadn’t seen Wesley play like, uh, three weeks ago I would have been SOL, so I stammered something about the Wesley offense. Thankfully the Washington and Jefferson/Bridgewater game came up next and I nailed what I meant to say there. And at the end of the bracket, I’m trying hard to talk about Trinity/Mary Hardin-Baylor without expressing my outrage, especially since Tredwell and I had a talk before the show about where the line was. Plus, I was able to backtrack and say what I had planned to get in about Ferrum, at the expense of noting Thiel’s triple-overtime win — sorry, guys.

Went to commercial break and I had a chance to collect myself, look ahead at the bracket, remember what I was planning to say, etc. Worked great on the North bracket, no problems. On the East bracket, I apologize, I skipped the Union blurb on the last game and went straight to the bracket overview. I meant to say that Union has three good offensive weapons that opposing defenses will be hard-pressed to contain.

Again, sorry, guys.

And yes, I said if Mary Hardin-Baylor beats Trinity, Wesley had a good shot in its second game because I’d ‘have to think it would be a second-round home game.’ That’s wrong, as the seedings now show.

As close as I get to my real feelings about that South bracket I say later, regarding the Trinity/Mary Hardin-Baylor game: ‘that’s going to be a regional final-quality bracket in the first round’

We get to the end of the teleprompter and haven’t been told by the control room to wrap it up yet, so Dari throws me the extra question regarding the Linfield/Mount Union matchup. I was stalling to try to recall Pierre Garcon’s name, so it went a little longer than I intended.

And the show ended up 45 seconds over budget. Lessons learned: Focus on the camera. Focus on some camera, and they’ll follow you. Next year I’ll also make sure what I want to say gets noted in the teleprompter instead of in my head.

Best part was afterwards, however, stopped by the room where the Sunday NFL shows’ anchors and commentators hang out to watch the games. Now that’s a show that should be televised, though I expect some of what was said in there was not for public consuption. Chris Berman, Tom Jackson, Chris Mortenson, etc., sitting in rows of chairs, watching about eight TV screens.

Now, remember, my “day” job is at a national weekly publication that covers the NFL as well, so we have a similar setup on Sunday afternoons, with people watching a bank of TVs with as many games as possible. But Sports Weekly doesn’t hold a candle to ESPN in this regard. The reaction in the room as Nathan Vasher returns the missed field goal 108 yards for a touchdown defies description. Imagine 20 people watching the play develop, shouting out Chris Bermanesque sound effects as blocks get set downfield.

Good food, too.

Thanks to ESPN for the opportunity to promote Division III. I hope the players enjoy the opportunity to see their school on the big screen. This has been a fun gig for me for three years, too, although it’s a little disorienting when people know me by name already at games before I introduce myself.

But like, uh, that’s not so bad. 🙂

A penny pinched …

A penny pinched is still just a penny.

For the cost of one extra flight, the NCAA decided to pair up top 10 teams in the first round, not once, but twice. That’s just plain wrong.

I know the folks in Indianapolis are tired of hearing the term, but the shoe fits.

Perhaps it happens so often that I’ve become anesthetized to it, but the more I reflect on this bracket, the more upsetting it is. What’s the point of adding teams to the bracket if we’re still going to be stuck eliminating Top 10 teams so early?

The fascination over saving first-round flights is interesting, considering that the current policy guarantees second-round flights. When you eliminate one of the two Texas teams early, you guarantee someone flies to or from Texas for the duration of team’s life in the tournament. If you set them up to play in the second round, the reward comes later.

Besides, even if we are indeed to bow down to the altar of “geographic proximity,” why not put UW-Whitewater in the north and Lakeland in the West? Whitewater is much closer to Illinois, which is the gateway to the rest of this bracket. I know this committee has never done much for competitive balance, but how about at least following your own guidelines?

“Once selected, teams will be grouped in clusters according to natural geographic proximity.”

But apparently, only for reasons of saving money, not for balancing the bracket.

Final bracket projections

Alright, we’re trying to pick up the pieces of our previous bracket projection. When St. John Fisher and Hardin-Simmons lost, the door was left wide open. Pool C went from six locks down to about four: North Central, Central, Hobart and Concordia-Moorhead. Thankfully, Pool B was pretty easy: Linfield, Thiel, Wesley and Washington and Jefferson. Willamette’s loss put them into the Pool C decision-making process, and Huntingdon’s loss to Maryville meant we didn’t have to consider them anymore.

Hardin-Simmons dropping out also meant, however, that we lose a relatively easy setup for Texas teams, with HSU at Trinity and someone flying in to play Mary Hardin-Baylor. We probably had to deal with three flights anyway, but the new bracket was a little more difficult to ponder.

A reminder of what we were given in terms of automatic bids:

Mary Hardin-Baylor ASC
Johns Hopkins Centennial
Augustana CCIW
Ithaca Empire 8
Mt. St. Joseph HCAC
Lakeland IBFC
Coe IIAC
Union Liberty League
Albion MIAA
Delaware Valley Middle Atlantic
Monmouth Midwest
St. John’s MIAC
Curry NEFC
Rowan NJAC
Wabash NCAC
Mount Union OAC
Bridgewater ODAC
Occidental SCIAC
Trinity (Texas) SCAC
Ferrum USAC
UW-Whitewater WIAC

We came down to the final three Pool C slots and started off with 12 (!) candidates:

That’s regional winning percentage followed by QOW, in no order.
Hardin-Simmons .778 9.556
DePauw .750 9.500
Hampden-Sydney .800 10.100
Capital .800 10.100
Ohio Northern .800 9.900
Cal Lutheran .889 9.667
Cortland State .778 10.333
RPI .778 10.000
Alfred .875 10.125
St. John Fisher .800 9.700
Wilkes .800 10.300
Willamette .800 10.000

The committee will look at them by region, so here’s another look. We’ve placed them in the order we think the committee will. The regional rankings help in some regions, not in others (East, too many losses):

Alfred .875 10.125
Cortland State .778 10.333
RPI .778 10.000
Wilkes .800 10.300
St. John Fisher .800 9.700

Hampden-Sydney .800 10.100
Hardin-Simmons .778 9.556
DePauw .750 9.500

Capital .800 10.100
Ohio Northern .800 9.900

Cal Lutheran .889 9.667
Willamette .800 10.000

The procedure is, take the best team from each region, put them on the board and pick the best of the four.

Alfred .875 10.125
Hampden-Sydney .800 10.100
Capital .800 10.100
Cal Lutheran .889 9.667

We have to start with Alfred, as a regional one-loss team (second loss overall is out of region, to Washington and Lee). Replace Alfred with Cortland State and start again. We don’t have wins against regionally ranked teams listed here, because we don’t have regional rankings to work with — wins against teams that were in previous rankings are no longer relevant. Capital has a win against Ohio Northern, which should still be ranked, and a loss to Mount Union. Hampden-Sydney has a loss to Bridgewater and no wins that will qualify (Johns Hopkins is out, not clear if they will get back in).

Replace Capital with Ohio Northern.

Cortland State .778 10.333
Hampden-Sydney .800 10.100
Ohio Northern .800 9.900
Cal Lutheran .889 9.667

We’ve been stuck in this position before, taking either the QOW candidate or the regional winning percentage candidate. There’s not enough data to work with here. We’re thinking Cortland State on the strength of the highest QOW and the win against a regionally ranked opponent. (You know, Ithaca, this week.)

So that’s our 32 teans. Here’s the bracket, before we put you to sleep:

EAST
Delaware Valley
Union
Rowan
Hobart
Cortland State
Ithaca
Alfred
Curry
Great interesting matchups here of teams that don’t usually play each other. And then there’s that 1/8 game between Delaware Valley and Curry. Otherwise, Alfred at Union, Ithaca at Rowan and Cortland State at Hobart.

SOUTH
Trinity (Texas)
Thiel
Occidental
Mary Hardin-Baylor
Wesley
Ferrum
Bridgewater
Johns Hopkins
Oh yeah, we went there. The flights thing is an issue. We didn’t want to pair off Linfield and Occidental, so instead we pair them off with another “island” team (a team that has nobody within 500 miles, the distance at which the NCAA will no longer bus opponents). Is this better than putting Mary Hardin-Baylor at Trinity in the first round? Not much. We’re essentially taking the South’s three seed and pairing it against the West’s four seed … and giving the West four seed the home field because of its unbeaten record. We send Johns Hopkins to Trinity, Bridgewater to Thiel and Ferrum to Wesley, in a matchup of teams that have one loss, by five TDs or more.

NORTH
Wabash
Mount Union
Augustana
North Central
Capital
Mt. St. Joseph
Washington and Jefferson
Albion
W&J coach Mike Sirianni goes against his alma mater, Mount Union. Mt. St. Joseph at Augustana, Capital at North Central.

WEST
Linfield
UW-Whitewater
St. John’s
Concordia-Moorhead
Coe
Monmouth
Central
Lakeland
Lakeland flies to Linfield, which is our third flight. We couldn’t get this done in less than three flights without twice screwing with the competive balance (pairing the Texans and the West Coasters in the first round). Central at UW-Whitewater, Monmouth at St. John’s, Coe at Concordia-Moorhead.

It’s not a standard bracket, to be sure. But then again, we’ve never had 32 teams before.