Author Archives: Pat Coleman

Women’s tournament bracketology

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This is going to be a pretty quick description for now, with more in-depth explainer to come.

As a reminder, we take the automatic bids, and we take the NCAA’s selection criteria, and we project the at-large bids, then create a bracket out of it.

The one Pool B bid went to Chapman and the 20 Pool C bids went as selected, in the following order:
Kean
Bowdoin
UW-Whitewater
Greensboro
Rochester
Johns Hopkins
Louisiana College
UW-La Crosse
Colby
Williams
Eastern Connecticut
Messiah
Hope
St. Vincent
Lewis and Clark
Washington U.
Gallaudet
Medaille
Ithaca
Simpson

The teams left on the board: Mary Washington, Wheaton (Ill.), Oneonta State, Baldwin-Wallace, Gettysburg, Bates and Maryville. Wartburg was next in the West when Simpson was taken with the last spot.

I talked to one former committee member tonight who said that when they were on the committee, if you weren’t ranked, you didn’t get in. In men’s basketball we know that the regional committees rank extra teams so that there are more at-large candidates available in case they run out. In women’s, they said that didn’t happen — if a region ran out, they simply had an empty spot on the board.

I called that “ludicrous” — thankfully I don’t think that’s the case anymore. If it is, Thomas More doesn’t get in.

And from that, here’s our bracket: Projected 2011 women’s basketball bracket

The NCAA makes its announcement starting at 3 p.m. ET on Monday.

Men’s tournament bracketology

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Here’s the Matt Snyder bracketology. I’m copying and pasting it over with their permission, but here’s the link, so please visit them.

Following that, I’ll give my take and we’ll work from there.

Here’s the official D3hoops.com men’s basketball bracket projection.

The Matt Snyder Bracketology Pool C bids
Listed Alphabetically: Amherst, Becker, Carleton, Concordia (Wis.), Gwynedd-Mercy, Hanover, Ithaca, Keystone, Oswego State, Penn State-Behrend, Ramapo, Texas-Dallas, UW-River Falls, Virginia Wesleyan, Western Connecticut, Williams, Wittenberg, WPI

I italicized the spots where we differ. We think Mary Hardin-Baylor will hope Texas-Dallas in the South Region rankings. (And the South Region rankings are a mess after this weekend!) UMHB beat UTD two out of three. And we project Keystone out in favor of Kean. We think Kean remains ahead of St. Joseph’s (L.I.) in the Atlantic Region ranking.

I’m going to say the same sort of thing I said the last time around, in that I don’t think the third CSAC team gets in. Given the criteria, there are certainly cases you could make for several teams in the final spot, and it’s like that every year.

NCAA’s 2011 regional rankings, Week 4

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The third men’s and women’s regional rankings of the 2010-11 season have been released. For women’s rankings, scroll down.

More about what regional rankings mean
The basics on the NCAA Tournament
Week 1 regional rankings
Week 2 regional rankings
Week 3 regional rankings

The first record is in-region record, followed by overall record. Through games of Feb. 20.

Atlantic Region
1 Ramapo 19-3 20-5
2 SUNY-Purchase 21-4 21-4
3 Kean 17-5 18-7
4 St. Joseph’s (L.I.) 18-5 20-5
5 Mount Saint Mary 18-7 18-7

East Region
1 Oswego State 22-3 22-3
2 Ithaca 19-5 20-5
3 Rochester 19-3 20-4
4 Stevens 19-6 19-6
5 Hobart 19-5 19-6
6 Buffalo State 15-6 18-6

Great Lakes Region
1 Wooster 20-2 23-2
2 Marietta 19-3 22-3
3 Penn State-Behrend 22-2 22-3
4 Hope 15-2 19-6
5 Thiel 15-3 18-6
6 Wabash 18-5 19-5

Middle Atlantic Region
1 La Roche 22-2 23-2
2 St. Mary’s (Md.) 18-3 20-5
3 Cabrini 20-5 20-5
4 Gwynedd-Mercy 19-4 20-5
5 Keystone 21-5 21-5
6 Lebanon Valley 17-6 19-6
7 Franklin and Marshall 18-5 20-5
8 DeSales 16-7 18-7
9 Wesley 15-5 16-9

Midwest Region
1 Concordia (Wis.) 20-2 22-3
2 Augustana 21-2 22-2
3 Manchester 18-5 19-6
4 Hanover 18-6 18-6
5 Anderson 15-7 17-8
6 Milwaukee Engineering 18-6 19-6
7 Benedictine 17-6 18-7
8 St. Norbert 18-5 18-5

Northeast Region
1 Williams 21-1 23-1
2 Middlebury 20-1 23-1
3 WPI 21-3 21-4
4 Becker 22-3 22-3
5 Amherst 21-2 22-2
6 Western Connecticut State 20-4 21-4
7 Rhode Island College 17-7 17-7
8 Elms 16-6 18-7
9 Eastern Connecticut State 15-7 17-8
10 Brandeis 16-8 16-8
11 Roger Williams 17-8 17-8

South Region
1 Virginia Wesleyan 20-3 22-3
2 Randolph-Macon 20-4 21-4
3 Texas-Dallas 19-4 20-5
4 Ferrum 18-4 21-4
5 Eastern Mennonite 15-4 21-4
6 North Carolina Wesleyan 14-4 19-6
7 Mary Hardin-Baylor 19-6 19-6
8 Emory 18-5 19-5

West Region
1 Whitworth 24-1 24-1
2 St. Thomas 21-3 22-3
3 UW-Stevens Point 21-3 22-3
4 Chapman 14-1 21-3
5 Carleton 18-5 18-7
6 UW-River Falls 17-5 19-6
7 Whitman 13-5 18-7
8 Lewis and Clark 12-5 18-7
9 UW-Whitewater 16-8 17-8

Women’s rankings

Atlantic
1. Kean 19-1 22-3
2. Mount Saint Mary (New York) 23-2 23-2
3. William Paterson 20-3 21-3
4. Baruch 20-4 21-5
5. Gallaudet 21-2 23-2
6. Mary Washington 18-5 20-5

Central
1. Illinois Wesleyan 17-3 20-4
2. Wisconsin-Stevens Point 23-2 23-2
3. Wisconsin-Whitewater 17-5 20-5
4. Wisconsin-La Crosse 18-6 19-6
5. Chicago 21-3 21-3
6. Washington U. St. Louis 17-3 20-4

East
1. Rochester (New York) 17-5 19-5
2. SUNY Geneseo 20-2 22-3
3. Medaille 21-3 21-3
4. Ithaca 18-4 19-6
5. Oneonta State 18-5 19-6
6. Keuka 21-2 22-2

Great Lakes
1. Thomas More 24-0 25-0
2. Hope 22-1 24-1
3. Denison 23-0 25-0
4. Hanover 22-1 23-1
5. Calvin 17-1 21-4
6. DePauw 19-2 22-3

Mid-Atlantic
1. Lebanon Valley 23-2 23-2
2. Juniata 19-3 19-6
3. Johns Hopkins 20-4 20-4
4. Messiah 18-5 18-6
5. Muhlenberg 19-5 19-5
6. Gettysburg 18-6 19-6

Northeast
1. Amherst 24-1 24-1
2. Bowdoin 21-3 21-4
3. Colby 19-4 21-4
4. Williams 19-4 21-4
5. Babson 23-0 25-0
6. Western Connecticut State 21-3 21-3
7. Eastern Connecticut State 18-5 18-7
8. Bates 15-7 17-8
9. Tufts 17-6 18-6
10. Southern Maine 16-7 16-9

South
1. Greensboro 23-1 24-1
2. Louisiana College 21-2 21-1
3. Christopher Newport 20-3 20-3
4. Randolph-Macon 19-4 19-3
5. Maryville (Tennessee) 21-2 17-6
6. Bridgewater (Virginia) 20-3 20-4

West
1. Coe 21-3 22-3
2. Lewis & Clark 16-3 20-5
3. George Fox 15-3 20-5
4. Chapman 14-3 20-5
5. Simpson 18-4 20-5
6. Wartburg 20-4 21-4

The bracketology scene

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We’re getting down to the final week-plus of the season and Matt Snyder, the Calvin basketball fan, blogger and budding bracketologist has posted a take on the men’s basketball Field of 61.

Projecting a bracket with only one automatic bid in the books is hardly an easy process, especially considering there are 40 conferences to define champions for. Pick regular season champs, pick teams higher in the regional rankings. Or in their case, pick whoever is highest in the RPI.

No perfect way to do it.

Here’s their take. It’s a little hard to picture the CSAC getting three teams in the field over a second team from the UAA, but no projection is perfect. At least, not many are. Matt has done a good job projecting regional rankings and knows the strength of schedule formula better than the committee.

NCAA’s 2011 regional rankings, Week 3

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The third men’s and women’s regional rankings of the 2010-11 season have been released. For women’s rankings, scroll down.

More about what regional rankings mean
The basics on the NCAA Tournament
Week 1 regional rankings
Week 2 regional rankings

The first record is in-region record, followed by overall record. Through games of Feb. 13.

Atlantic Region
1 Ramapo 17-3 18-5
2 Kean 16-5 17-7
3 Mount Saint Mary (N.Y.) 17-5 17-5
4 SUNY-Purchase 19-4 19-4
5 St. Joseph’s (L.I.) 17-3 19-3

East Region
1 Oswego State 19-3 19-3
2 Rochester 17-3 18-4
3 Stevens 17-5 17-5
4 Ithaca 16-5 17-5
5 Hobart 18-4 18-5
6 Medaille 18-4 18-5

Great Lakes Region
1 Wooster 18-2 21-2
2 Hope 14-1 18-5
3 Marietta 18-2 21-2
4 Penn State-Behrend 20-2 20-3
5 Wittenberg 14-3 17-5
6 Thiel 14-3 17-6

Middle Atlantic Region
1 La Roche 20-2 21-2
2 Cabrini 19-4 19-4
3 St. Mary’s (Md.) 17-3 19-5
4 Wesley 15-3 16-7
5 DeSales 16-5 18-5
6 Gwynedd-Mercy 17-4 18-5
7 Franklin and Marshall 17-4 19-4
8 Keystone 18-5 18-5
9 Alvernia 14-5 15-5

Midwest Region
1 Augustana 21-1 22-1
2 Concordia (Wis.) 17-2 19-3
3 Hanover 17-5 17-5
4 Edgewood 16-5 16-7
5 Manchester 16-5 17-6
6 Illinois Wesleyan 15-6 16-6
7 Anderson 14-6 16-7
8 Milwaukee Engineering 16-6 17-6

Northeast Region
1 Williams 21-1 22-1
2 Middlebury 18-1 20-1
3 WPI 20-2 20-3
4 Becker 20-3 20-3
5 Amherst 20-2 21-2
6 Western Connecticut State 18-4 19-4
7 Rhode Island College 15-7 15-7
8 Elms 14-6 16-7
9 MIT 16-6 16-7
10 Brandeis 15-7 15-7
11 Eastern Connecticut State 14-6 16-7

South Region
1 Virginia Wesleyan 17-2 20-2
2 Randolph-Macon 18-4 20-4
3 Ferrum 18-3 21-3
4 Texas-Dallas 16-4 17-5
5 Emory 17-4 18-4
6 Centre 15-4 17-4
7 North Carolina Wesleyan 12-4 17-6
8 Eastern Mennonite 12-4 18-4

West Region
1 Whitworth 23-0 23-0
2 St. Thomas 18-3 19-3
3 UW-Stevens Point 19-3 20-3
4 UW-River Falls 17-3 19-4
5 Chapman 14-1 19-3
6 Carleton 15-5 15-7
7 Whitman 12-4 17-6
8 Lewis and Clark 11-4 17-6
9 St. Olaf 15-6 16-6

Men’s regional score reporting forms:
Atlantic  |  East  |  Great Lakes  |  Middle Atlantic  |  Midwest  |  Northeast  |  South  |  West

Women’s rankings
Women’s rankings have in-region record first, followed by overall record.
Atlantic Region
1. Kean 16-1 20-3
2. Mount Saint Mary 20-2 20-2
3. William Paterson 18-3 19-3
4. Richard Stockton 16-7 17-7
5. Baruch 19-3 20-3
6. Gallaudet 18-1 20-1

Central Region
1. Illinois Wesleyan 15-3 18-4
2. UW-Stevens Point 21-2 21-2
3. UW-Whitewater 15-5 18-5
4. Chicago 19-3 19-3
5. UW-La Crosse 17-5 18-5
6. Wisconsin Lutheran 19-3 20-3

East Region
1. Rochester 15-5 17-5
2. Medaille 20-2 20-2
3. Geneseo State 17-2 19-3
4. Ithaca 16-3 17-5
5. Cortland State 17-4 17-4
6. Oneonta State 16-5 17-6

Great Lakes Region
1. Thomas More 22-0 23-0
2. Hope 19-1 22-1
3. Calvin 15-1 19-4
4. Denison 21-0 23-0
5. Hanover 20-1 21-1
6. DePauw 17-2 20-3

Mid-Atlantic Region
1. Lebanon Valley 21-2 21-2
2. Juniata 17-3 17-6
3. Johns Hopkins 19-4 19-4
4. Gettysburg 17-5 18-5
5. Messiah 14-5 14-6
6. Muhlenberg 17-5 17-5

Northeast Region
1. Amherst 23-1 23-1
2. Bowdoin 20-3 20-4
3. Colby 18-4 20-4
4. Williams 18-4 20-4
5. Babson 21-0 23-0
6. Western Connecticut State 17-2 19-3
7. Bates 15-6 17-7
8. Tufts 16-5 17-5
9. Southern Maine 15-6 15-8
10. Eastern Connecticut State 17-4 17-6

South Region
1. Greensboro 22-0 23-0
2. Louisiana College 19-1 21-1
3. Christopher Newport 18-3 20-3
4. Bridgewater (Va.) 17-3 19-3
5. Randolph-Macon 17-4 17-6
6. Maryville (Tenn.) 20-2 20-4

West Region
1. Coe 19-3 20-3
2. Chapman 14-3 20-4
3. Lewis and Clark 14-3 18-5
4. Simpson 16-4 18-5
5. Wartburg 19-3 20-3
6. George Fox 13-3 18-5